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S & P 500 Probabilities

Since most stocks generally move in the same direction as the S&P 500, it would be nice to know which direction this indicator is headed. The following tables provide probabilities of S&P 500 movement. The probabilities are based on what the S&P 500 has done in the past when in similar conditions as they are today-(overbought... oversold... some where in between). For example, the table might make a statement such as: There is a 5% chance that the S&P 500 will gain more than 1% tomorrow. The probabilities will be updated each market evening sometime before 9:00 pm central time.

S&P 500 Probabilities for 10/29/02

More than 1% Loss

0% to 1% Loss 0% to 1% Gain More than 1% Gain
3% 50% 39% 8%

S&P 500 Probabilities for 5 market days in the future

More than 2% Loss

0% to 2% Loss 0% to 2% Gain More than 2% Gain
5% 38% 51% 6%

DAILY STOCK INFORMATION (PAGE)  - 1 - 2  


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